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  5. Human‐mediated dispersal and disturbance shape the metapopulation dynamics of a long‐lived herb

Human‐mediated dispersal and disturbance shape the metapopulation dynamics of a long‐lived herb

Resource type
Journal article
Creator (person)
Bullock, James M.
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Wichmann, Matthias C.
Hails, Rosemary S.
Hodgson, David J.
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Alexander, Matt J.
Morley, Kathryn
Knopp, Tatjana
Ridding, Lucy E.
Hooftman, Danny A. P.
Date published
August 2020
Abstract
As anthropogenic impacts on the natural world escalate, there is increasing interest in the role of humans in dispersing seeds. But the consequences of this Human-Mediated Dispersal (HMD) on plant spatial dynamics are little studied. In this paper, we ask how secondary dispersal by HMD affects the dynamics of a natural plant metapopulation. In addition to dispersal between patches, we suggest within-patch processes can be critical. To address this, we assess how variation in local population dynamics, caused by small-scale disturbances, affects metapopulation size. We created an empirically based model with stochastic population dynamics and dispersal among patches, which represented a real-world, cliff-top metapopulation of wild cabbage Brassica oleracea. We collected demographic data from multiple populations by tagging plants over eight years. We assessed seed survival, and establishment and survival of seedlings in intact vegetation vs. small disturbances. We modeled primary dispersal by wind using field data and used experimental data on secondary HMD by hikers. We monitored occupancy patterns over a 14-yr period in the real metapopulation. Disturbance had large effects on local population growth rates, by increasing seedling establishment and survival. This meant that the modeled metapopulation grew in size only when the area disturbed in each patch was above 35%. In these growing metapopulations, although only 0.2% of seeds underwent HMD, this greatly enhanced metapopulation growth rates. Similarly, HMD allowed more colonizations in declining metapopulations under low disturbance, and this slowed the rate of decline. The real metapopulation showed patterns of varying patch occupancy over the survey years, which were related to habitat quality, but also positively to human activity along the cliffs, hinting at beneficial effects of humans. These findings illustrate that realistic changes to dispersal or demography, specifically by humans, can have fundamental effects on the viability of a species at the landscape scale.
Funder
Funder nameAwards
Centre for Ecology and Hydrology
NEC06895
Natural Environment Research Council
NE/B503141/1
Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council
GM114157
Journal title
Ecology
Article number
e03087
Publisher
Wiley
ISSN
0012-9658
eISSN
1939-9170
Official URL
https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.3087
Licence
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
DOI
10.1002/ecy.3087
Keywords
human-vectored dispersal
long-distance dispersal
spatial dynamics
demography
stochasticity
extinction
colonization
anthropogenic
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